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Four Phd Positions On The Attribution of Extreme
il y a 2 semaines
**Responsabilities**:
**General overview**
Europe and other mid
- and high-latitude regions in the world have experienced a number of unprecedented extreme climatic events in the past years, in particular heatwaves and droughts, as well as catastrophic floods like those that occurred in Belgium in the summer of 2021. Attribution is the research area at the crossover of climate science and statistics that aims at evaluating the relative contributions of different causal factors to the occurrence of extreme events. It serves in particular to pinpoint the possible role of anthropogenic climate change in these extremes.
This interdisciplinary project involves multiple research institutes: the Namur Institute for Complex Systems (naXys) at UNamur, the Earth and Climate Center (part of ELI, the Earth and Life Institute) at UCLouvain, and the institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (part of LIDAM, the Louvain Institute of Data Analysis and Modeling in economics and statistics) at UCLouvain.
The PhD grants are financed through the Action de Recherche Concert´ee (ARC) called **EXALT - EXtreme** weather Attribution at mid
**Position 1: attribution of European floods**
Main : affiliation UNamur
Secondary affiliation : UCLouvain
Keywords : Attribution, Extreme-value theory, Floods, Non-stationarity
Different models with different covariates are expected to be selected for different regions of Europe.
**Position 2: attribution of European heatwaves**
Main affiliation : UCLouvain
Keywords : Attribution, Clustering, Extreme-value theory, Heatwaves, Tail dependence
**Position 3: attribution of European droughts**
Main affiliation : UCLouvain
Keywords : Attribution, Droughts, Extreme-value theory, Non-stationarity, Rare event algorithm
Finally, non-stationary extreme value models will be developed to quantify future changes in the probability of occurrence of prolonged extreme droughts and to arrive at solid attribution statements for recent events.
**Position 4: attribution of low Antarctic sea ice**
Main affiliation : UCLouvain
Secondary affiliation : UNamur
Keywords : Attribution, Extreme-value theory, Non-stationariy, Sea ice extent, Tail dependence
**Profile**:
Expected profile: you are holding a master degree (120 ECTS) in statistics, mathematics, physics, climatology, earth sciences, engineering, or a similar domain. Your skills and interests include
- statistical modelling,
- programming skills in, for instance, R and/or Python,
- fluency in English, spoken and written,
- autonomy, a sense of initiative and proactivity,
- experience with extreme-value theory and/or the analysis of climate data is a plus.
**Additional information**:
**We offer**:
- full-time four-year PhD grants, starting from October 1st, 2024, or later,
- a net salary of around 2400 euros/month (including social insurance and transportation to / from work),
- an international and multidisciplinary working environment,
- travel opportunities for attending scientific conferences and doing research visits,
- access to a high-performance scientific computing environment,
- opportunities to gather experience in teaching and consultancy.
**Remarks**:
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